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Exam Number : 000-570
Exam Name : IBM Maximo Asset Management V7.5 Implementation
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Innovation and new ideas lightbulb concept 2022

Olemedia/E+ by way of Getty photographs

As 2022 stars, i love to seem ahead and consider my exact three dividend boom stock picks for the brand new 12 months. This yr i'm picking Merck (MRK), Amgen (AMGN), and Lockheed Martin (LMT). however earlier than they examine these three shares, let's review final yr's picks.

How Did I Do ultimate 12 months?

final 12 months I picked greenback regularly occurring (DG), international enterprise Machines (IBM), and Lockheed Martin (LMT). that you may see in the chart below that greenback generic become up 13.2%, IBM was up 18.4%, and Lockheed Martin became up 3.four%, with dividends reinvested. This efficiency was first rate in absolute phrases, however of path, the S&P 500 Index, Dow 30, and NASDAQ Index carried out superior in 2021.

however, dividend increase investing is a long-time period exercise, no longer a one-year decide on and dump. All three shares gave buyers dividend raises in 2021. dollar familiar accelerated the quarterly dividend fee 12.5% to $0.36 per share, the sixth year in a row. IBM boosted the quarterly dividend expense 0.6% to $1.sixty four per share for the twenty sixth annual increase. finally, Lockheed Martin raised the quarterly dividend price 7.7% to $2.80 per share for the 19th yr in a row.

20201 Dividend Growth Stock Returns source: StockRover

dollar commonplace performed neatly in 2019 at +45% and in 2020 at +35%. hence, it is reasonable to predict a slowdown in 2021. The company changed into abruptly opening shops, and the pandemic offered a big tailwind for earnings and income in 2020. The year 2021 turned into still good enough, but the reopening of the USA economic climate led to a change in buyer behavior, and greenback frequent couldn't repeat the big growth in 2020. That being mentioned, greenback popular remains an excellent dividend increase inventory to personal for the future. The company plans to extend in Mexico and has a brand new pOpshelf thought.

IBM changed into a controversial prefer and one that most readers failed to like as a result of declining earnings and rising debt. youngsters, the brand new CEO has reputedly righted the ship. First, IBM spun off the Managed Infrastructure services business into a new business referred to as Kyndryl Holdings (KD). This trade left IBM with organizations starting to be about at a 5% cost. 2d, IBM's hybrid cloud offerings in keeping with the pink Hat acquisition are turning out to be. moreover, IBM is pursuing bolt-on acquisitions including to its consulting functions and application offering. ultimately, IBM's net debt is falling after peaking in 2019. traders should still do smartly in the long run, assuming the brand new CEO delivers on his vision.

Lockheed Martin struggled in 2021 after lowering the outlook. The business's boom platform, the F-35, will likely grow slower than anticipated. moreover, the united states exit from Afghanistan and accelerated payments to suppliers will harm the desirable and backside traces. Lockheed Martin's stock price struggled subsequently. youngsters, the F-35 is still a platform with many years of increase. Lockheed Martin also has opportunities in hypersonics. the USA is pouring materials into this technology to trap both China and Russia, which have operational programs. because of this, Lockheed Martin will continue to be the global chief for defense, and buyers should improvement.

The stock Market Marches Upward

The yr 2021 changed into a further amazing one for returns making it three years in a row that investors have accomplished neatly. The S&P 500 Index turned into up 29.9%, the NASDAQ turned into up 22.1%, the Dow 30 changed into up 18.7%, and the Russell 2000 become up 14.7%. moreover, the indices are buying and selling near their all-time highs.

This year, buyers face a challenge with the inventory market in mixture having carried out well for 3 years. youngsters, there are at all times pockets of cost, and the birth of 2022 is not any exception. a couple of performed poorly if they investigate the 2021 inventory market returns on the industry stage. for instance, Biotech and prescription drugs performed relatively poorly. Aerospace & defense was simplest up about 2.three% in 2021. traders attempting to find undervalued stocks should still center of attention on these industries.

Merck's stock Has gone Nowhere

the primary dividend boom stock I picked for the brand new year is Merck, the pharmaceutical giant. Merck's inventory fee changed into down (-1.74%) in 2021 and is trading on the equal degree as early-2019. The enterprise struggled with scientific trial delays, disappointing consequences for Molnupiravir, and potential usual competition for Januvia. besides the fact that children, Merck is well-placed for boom in oncology and is making strikes to bolster its pipeline.

Merck's fundamental drug treatments are Keytruda (melanoma immunotherapy), Januvia (diabetes), Gardasil (HPV), pro Quad (MMR vaccine), Varivax (varicella vaccine), Bridion (muscle relaxant), and Pneumovax 23 (pneumococcal vaccine). Keytruda, Gardasil, and Januvia are blockbuster drugs generating billions of bucks in earnings every quarter. furthermore, a couple of of the business's different medication have more than $1 billion annually in sales.

Merck's electricity is successful R&D allowing the company to develop organically. Merck's fresh FDA approvals are Molnupiravir (COVID-19 antiviral) and Welireg (Hippel-Landau). Welireg provides to Merck's different contemporary oncology approvals of Lynparza and Lenvima. moreover, Merck is extending its current medicine to different indications. The focus is Keytruda, which the enterprise is discovering for diverse melanoma indications anyway renal carcinoma. Merck has electricity in oncology and, even after accounting for attrition, should still have a few newly accepted drugs within the following couple of years.

Merck Pipeline source: Merck Investor family members

Merck is additionally lively in M&A and bought Acceleron Pharma for $eleven.5 billion. This motion strengthens Merck's cardiovascular pipeline and brings the sotatercept asset in late-stage trials, a possible therapy for pulmonary arterial hypertension. The deal also brings Reblozyl (blood disorders) to the portfolio.

Merck's dividend increase is brilliant, with eleven years in a row of raises. The dividend growth cost is ready 7.4% during the past 5-years and an even sooner 9.9% within the trailing 3-years. The ahead payout ratio is around 48% leaving room for more raises. Merck's debt will rise, however hobby coverage was greater than 22X, and the leverage ratio beneath 1.0X earlier than the Acceleron deal introduced to dividend safeguard.

Merck is undervalued now, buying and selling at a price-to-profits (P/E) ratio of about 13.2X. The common was about 14.1X during the past decade. additionally, the ahead dividend yield is ~3.6%, neatly above the 5-12 months commonplace. hence, it is a brilliant time to examine Merck now.

Amgen for Biotech

My 2nd choose for a dividend increase inventory is Amgen, the world's biggest biotech business. Amgen's inventory expense is down (-2.15%) in 2021. The enterprise has struggled with declining revenue for two top dealers, Neulasta (neutropenia) and Enbrel (autoimmune illnesses). Neulasta is seeing greater competitors from biosimilars, and Enbrel is confronted with greater valuable branded competition. although, Enbrel's patents don't expire unless 2028.

Amgen's different treatments are transforming into and should help offset declines from Neulasta and Enbrel. Prolia (osteoporosis) and Xgeva (fracture in cancer sufferers) are blockbusters. other medication with starting to be revenue include Kyprolis (dissimilar myeloma), Repatha (cholesterol), and Aimovig (migraines). additionally, Amgen has made some effective strikes to refill its pipeline. The company bought Otezla (immunology), a blockbuster closing with over $2 billion in earnings. moreover, Lumakras (lung cancer) and Evenity (osteoporosis) had been these days accredited and becoming income.

Amgen has energy in oncology and immunology, and the pipeline has several cures in part 2 or 3 trials. After accounting for attrition, Amgen may still have one important product launch per yr over the following couple of years. as an example, Tezepelumab (bronchial asthma) may still be launched in 2022, pending approval. other important remedies in trials include Bemarituzumab (cancer), Acapatamab (cancer), and Tarlatamab (melanoma).

Amgen Pipeline source: Amgen Investor members of the family

Amgen is returning cash to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. The company has raised the dividend for ten consecutive years. The dividend's compound annual increase rate (CAGR) is remarkable at ~31.7% during the past decade, about 17.1% during the past 5-years, and roughly 18.6% in the trailing three-years. moreover, the payout ratio is conservative at forty six%, leaving room for future increases and presenting confidence about dividend protection.

Amgen's ahead dividend yield is ready 3.5%, more than the 5-yr ordinary. The stock is near reasonable value buying and selling at a P/E ratio of ~13.4X. however, Amgen has a wide moat, and the Chowder Rule offers ~21.0%. Amgen may be a good choice for investors wanting to add biotech to their portfolio.

Lockheed Martin for Hypersonics

For the third inventory, I choose Lockheed Martin again. The enterprise is the biggest defense contractor globally by profits. unfortunately, the inventory fee plunged by means of about 10% after Q3 2021 earnings. investors didn't just like the reduce salary and revenue in Q3 2021 compared to Q3 2020. decrease volumes for the F-35, the united states exit from Afghanistan, and accelerated funds to suppliers caused this outcome. furthermore, Lockheed Martin took a non-money pension contract can charge. youngsters, the lower revenue outlook for 2022 and weaker boom over the subsequent 5-years actually hurt the inventory.

despite the negative outlook, Lockheed Martin should nonetheless develop. The F-35 may be around for a long time. After preliminary revenue, modernization and sustainment will drive long-term income and earnings boom. Lockheed Martin also has an opportunity in hypersonics. The enterprise is acquiring Aerojet Rocketdyne field to approvals. however, there is some risk that the deal should not achieved due to the FTC assessment of the deal and resistance in Congress.

besides the fact that children, in spite of the fact that the deal is not completed, Lockheed Martin will nonetheless be a big player in hypersonics and defenses. both of these categories are priorities for the Pentagon. The company has three fundamental classes: the Air-Launched rapid Response Weapon (ARRW), the accepted immediate Strike (CPS), and the long-range Hypersonic Weapon (LRHW). moreover, the advent of hypersonic missiles on the battlefield capacity protective systems are a precedence. Lockheed Martin is one of the few agencies with the capabilities and team of workers to compete for these courses.

Lockheed Martin is a dividend growth inventory with 19 years of increases. The dividend increase fee is ~12.6% during the past decade, about 9.four% within the trailing 5-years, and 8.9% in the past three-years. The payout ratio is a conservative ~42% offering self belief in the dividend defense and leaving room for future increases.

Lockheed Martin is yielding ~three.2% higher than the 5-12 months normal. The inventory is buying and selling at a forward P/E ratio of 13.3X, under the 10-year general of 16X. The Chowder number is over 12%, and the stock is a deal now.

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